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What to Expect for Rent Prices Moving into 2023

Many real estate experts are calling for rent prices to rise

While the real estate markets throughout the country are constantly shifting, many felt that heading into 2023, we’d see a calmer market overall than we had from 2020-2022. But rent prices, for the long-term outlook, are not looking promising as we move into 2023. In August of this year, the median rent price in the most significant 50 US cities fell by about $10, according to Realtor.com. That was the first time we saw a dip in the US median price since November 2021. 

 

But, unfortunately, one month’s worth of decline in that rent price doesn’t necessarily start a long-term downward trend. Rental demand will remain strong due to rising mortgage rates and homeownership costs, which will stop many people from being able to enter the buyer’s market in the new year. This forces many would-be homebuyers to remain in the rental market, signing leases through 2023 and beyond, exacerbating an already high-demanded rental market.

Expect above-average rent price increases for the first half of 2023

Based on data from the federal government’s consumer price index, the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas predicts that rental prices will increase from 5.8% to 8.4% between June 2022 and May 2023.

 

According to Thomas LaSalvia, a director of financial analysis at Moody’s Analytics, annualized rent increases were from 4% to 5% during the Covid pandemic.

 

“There’s an anticipation that interest rates still have to rise in the next six months for the Fed to get inflation back into its comfort zone,” LaSalvia says. “And with that, mortgage rates will stay relatively high.”

 

Moody’s expects prices to grow more slowly in the second half of 2023 as long as mortgage rates stay low.

 

“There’s also an expectation that the Fed is going to pivot [away from continued interest hikes] after inflation starts to come down, which would then take a little pressure off the mortgage market,” LaSalvia says. This, in turn, should provide some price relief for renters, he says.

What Rising Rent Prices Mean for Relocation Policies

There’s no question that living costs are closely related to home renting and buying prices. This is why rent prices, rising or declining, can have an impact on an employee accepting a relocation assignment. While many might think that the only way to get an employee to move for their new job is to throw more money their way, there are relocation policies that can be set up to help offset the cost of living and make moving expenses more manageable. 

 

First off, offering corporate housing options can help persuade an employee. Corporate housing is short-term housing from anywhere from 30 to 90 days. The primary purpose of providing employees with this benefit is to give them time to scout out neighbors or apartment complexes they might want to move into permanently in their new destination. This way, the employee doesn’t rush into signing a lease that they will not be happy with long-term. 

 

Many employers also see success when they work with a relocation service provider who can guide them in lease management options. The most straightforward example would be for the employer to provide compensation for an employee breaking their current lease. Often, to break a lease on a rental property, it can cost too much to make it worth it. But there are relocation policies where lease break coverage can be included.

Let GMS Help with a Cost of Living Analysis

Global Mobility Solutions (GMS) has been the industry leader in relocation for over 30 years. We specialize in helping companies get their employees from point A to point B. Whether your employees need to sell and buy a home or break their lease and sign a new one, we can help you by setting up relocation policies that will make a smooth transition for you and your employee. 

 

On top of rental and home-buying assistance, we also have great corporate housing providers who can set up your company with some short-term housing options. 

 

And lastly, GMS’ expert team would be more than happy to provide you with some cost of living analysis for some of the major markets, not only in the US but international destinations as well. We assist with these analyses to make it easier for your employee to want to accept the relocation assignment.

 

At GMS, we understand how hard it can be to get the right person in the right seat, which is why we are here to help in any way we can. Reach out today to schedule a free consultation, where one of our relocation experts will review your relocation policies to see where improvements and cost-saving changes can be made. 

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Buy a Home Corporate Relocation Global Relocation Trends Relocation Best Practices

Answers to Housing Market Questions Heading into 2023

As we near 2023, here are some hot topics regarding the real estate market

Over the last three years, many real estate markets saw record-high home prices. As the interest rates continue to rise, there are many questions regarding the housing markets across the country heading into 2023. Many buyers and sellers wonder if these high prices will stay consistent or continue to increase. 

 

Here we cover some questions that many have about the future of the real estate market and how it may affect relocation programs next year:

What Caused Home Prices to Rise So Much in the Last Two Years?

The short answer is high demand and low supply. According to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) Home Price Index, the national average on home prices went up 15% in 2021 and 9% in 2020. Historically prices have only grown about 5% each year until then. 

 

Because of the historically high demand, the Federal Reserve drove down mortgage rates and borrowing costs to record lows to better support economic activity. The thought was to make monthly payments on expensive homes more manageable. But while that was happening, the number of homes for sale declined as many people were waiting out the Covid-19 pandemic and its effects on the market.

What Will Happen with Home Prices in 2023?

With a rise in mortgage rates, we have seen new and existing home sales slow down considerably. According to the National Association of Realtors, existing home sales were down almost 20% when compared year over year. At the same time, median home prices sold somehow went up 7.7%.

Demand may have slowed in most major markets, but the number of homes for sale continues to be at historic lows. Experts predict that the national average home prices could continue to rise, but if so, it will be much slower than in the past two years. For 2023, the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) and Fannie Mae predict existing home price growth of 3.1% and 3.2%, respectively.     

 

In summary, potential buyers might not have to deal with as much competition, but property appraisals are likely to remain high.

Will there be a housing market crash similar to 2007–08?

Experts will say that they do not see the market conditions as a “housing bubble” compared to 2007-2008. During the period leading up to that bubble burst, too many mortgage companies were greenlighting buyers who did not have financial positions to manage monthly payments. Back then, many home loans were made with no money down on the property, so the buyers did not even have equity in the property. 

 

As the home prices eventually declined significantly, this made it easier for the new homeowner to walk away from the house, which created the crash. But today, mortgage qualifiers have much stronger credit profiles and equity in their properties. According to the New York Federal Reserve, most home loans made over the last two years have gone to those with high credit scores of 760+ rather than the low scores of the Housing Bubble period. 

In addition, the housing market in 2007 had a surplus of homes for purchase in the decade before the COVID-19 pandemic, but new home construction did not keep up with the demands of a growing population.

With the price increases, is housing affordability an issue for the U.S. economy?

The high cost of housing and increasing mortgage rates make it difficult for more people to afford a home. This has been a problem in the economy for several years, with the lack of affordable housing being an issue since the Great Recession. As the supply of homes becomes tighter, builders are incentivized to construct larger homes with more significant profit margins. With an increase in the availability of these higher-priced segments, builders have slowly begun moving down the price-point scale.

GMS Is Always In the Know On the Housing MarkeT

Global Mobility Solutions (GMS) always stays up to date on the real estate market in almost every need within the US, and most international market trends. Our dedicated real estate team works with the best relocation real estate agents and mortgage brokers to assure excellent service and outstanding home sale and buying assistance programs

 

On top of that, our corporate housing providers are all thoroughly vetted before being passed on to clients. At GMS, we understand that the up and down housing market can be a big reason why an employee might decline a relocation assignment, which is why we do everything in our power to get them from point A to point B without going into financial distress over their home sale or home buying portion of the relocation process. 

For more information on our real estate case studies or other industry trends regarding global mobility programs, feel free to reach out to us today for a free consultation. Our award-winning relocation team is ready to answer any questions you may have.

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Buy a Home Home Purchase

Real Estate Trends: 5 Challenges Home Sellers Face

Some of the most common obstacles home sellers have to hurdle

Selling a home to move on to bigger and better opportunities can be an exciting time. But anyone who has bought or sold a home before knows that can be a long and tedious process. When selling a house or property, often the seller is under some sort of time restriction. They could be closing on their new living arrangement, maybe they’re moving for a new job with a strict start date, or need the equity from the old house for their new property. No matter the case, sellers usually don’t have a lot of time to be held up when trying to complete the transaction. 

Real estate trends change constantly throughout the year. With that being said, any real estate agent can tell you that no two real estate transactions are the same as so many different challenges can arise. No matter the situation, everyone loses out if the challenge stalls or derails the deal altogether. Here are some of the most common challenges faced when selling a home:

1) Keeping Emotions in Check

Probably the hardest part of selling a home is letting go of the time, money, and effort put into building and maintaining it. It’s not uncommon for sellers to have a hard time letting go of the house that their family has lived in for years and the memories created while living there. Many times, sellers will want to artificially inflate the price of the home due to the time and money they spent on upgrades or repairs over the years. Sellers have to remember that to buyers, this doesn’t mean nearly as much to them from an emotional attachment standpoint. The only way to overcome this is to be 100 percent sure it’s time to sell the family home and move on. Keep reminding yourself that it’s a business transaction at this point, not an emotional decision. 

It can also be easy for those selling to be worried about seller’s remorse. The easiest example is the seller may be scared that if they sell the home for X amount, it could be worth Y amount just a few days later. Working with an experienced agent or team who knows the latest real estate trends can help make sure that the final sale price is fair, profitable, and sustainable.

2) Real Estate Market Conditions

When selling a home, obviously the goal for the seller is to make as much profit as possible. But listing price when selling a home can be a crucial step in the process. If listed at too high of a price it could keep potential buyers away. If at too low of a price, the seller might miss out on a chance to capitalize on earnings. It is important to know local market prices and how to effectively market your property in the current housing market.

There are so many factors that determine what each local real estate market looks like. Is it a buyer’s market? A seller’s market? Is the house located in an area where it is better to sell in spring or winter? How many houses are for sale in that area? 

Again, each market will be different so it’s hard to generalize supply and demand for an entire area. But if possible, it’s a good idea to study your local market for a few weeks, if not months, leading up to the listing of your home. The best way around this challenge is to work with a mortgage broker and real estate team who know the mark front and back.

3) Finding a Reliable and Certified Real Estate Agent

There are a few different types of specialty real estate agents that can assist with a specific type of home sale. For example, if you are moving for a new job and are utilizing a relocation package, it would probably be in the best interest to use a relocation-specialized real estate agent. These agents generally hold relocation-specific certifications, such as Worldwide ERC’s CRP certification. This certification showcases that the agent is deeply familiar with the nuances surrounding corporate mobility and how it can impact the real estate process. Additionally, these agents will be familiar with specialized home sale programs that are common in the relocation industry, such as the Buyer Value Option or Guaranteed Purchase Offer.

It’s worth noting that if your company is providing you with relocation benefits, you may need to utilize a specific network of vetted real estate agents in order to qualify for your benefits. If you’re unsure, it’s best to check your relocation policy or get in touch with your relocation specialist (GMS Relocation Coach).

4) Prepping the Home for Listing

For anyone selling a home, this challenge could involve some manual labor or some money for repairs. In order to fetch the best possible price for your home, it should be “show ready”. If there are any repairs or upgrades that the house needs, it’s a good idea to get those out of the way before marketing the home for sale. If not, sellers run the risk of having a sale held up due to negotiations about the repairs with the buyers and their agent. However, in a seller’s market, when buyers are more desperate to get a deal done, you may be able to negotiate to leave some minor repairs for buyers to tend to after the sale is complete.

5) Unrealistic Buyer Expectations/Needs

On rare occasions, you may be faced with potential home buyers who simply have unrealistic expectations. This can cause sellers additional stress and potentially derail the deal. The only advice to be given here is to remember this is a business transaction and if the deal isn’t right then walk away and be patient for new buyers.

GMS Stays Up to Date on Real Estate Trends

Global Mobility Solutions (GMS) has been helping individuals and families relocate since 1987. Our expert team stays up to par on real estate trends throughout the US and Canada to ensure that our clients’ employees are successful when trying to buy or sell a home. We want to make sure that moving is as smooth as possible and assign dedicated Relocation Coaches to each employee to guide them during the relocation process. If you have any questions about our industry-specific benchmarking studies or need more info on the relocation process itself, please reach out to us today.

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Buy a Home Domestic Relocation Trends Home Purchase

Real Estate Trends: iBuyer Looks to Sell 7,000 Homes

Zillow Is Done Flipping Homes with iBuying Methods

Over the last two years, many U.S. states saw a large surge in their housing market. In some cases, those selling houses, condos, and townhomes were asking more than double what they originally paid. Those prices were met by a frenzy of buyers who were looking to buy anything they could as quickly as possible. In many cases, the typical home resulted in a bidding war. 2021 was a great year to sell a home, and for many investors, it was a great year to flip a home. 

Flipping homes has been a money maker for those who know what they’re doing for a long time now. Buy a property, put some money into repairs or upgrades, then sell the home six months later at a sizable profit. As the real estate market was so fierce this year, some real estate companies started buying up properties just for the sake of selling them. 

However, as markets across the country have shown signs of leveling out, some real estate organizations have been caught with an overstock of inventory. A major name making recent news on this front is Zillow Group Inc.

Better known as simply Zillow, the online home buying and selling site is looking to unload about 7,000 houses after buying too many properties to flip. Zillow is seeking about $2.8 million in total for all 7,000 homes, which are being shown to investors now. If all these houses can be sold, it would put a huge dent in Zillow’s overflow inventory. 

The company also stated that they will try to sell the houses to several different buyers instead of in a single bulk transaction. It is yet to be seen what this challenge could do to Zillow financially, but a report from KeyBanc Capital Markets noted that 650 of the homes for sale showed an asking price of about two-thirds what they were purchased for.

What is an iBuyer?

The premise of iBuying is to purchase low, renovate quickly, and sell for a profit. Zillow, along with competitors Opendoor and Offerpad, leads the real estate market in iBuying. iBuyers work directly with home sellers to offer an instant cash amount for the home with the idea that it removes the stress and hassle of home selling from the homeowner. Additionally, the homeowner no longer needs to deal with the traditional real estate process.

However, while an instant cash offer on your property sounds like a win, it should be noted that the seller does get stuck with some fees that can range up to 7 or 8 percent of the sale price. Additionally, as the iBuyer needs to remain profitable, their instant cash offers may be lower than what an independent sale might raise on the market. On average, iBuyer costs can be higher than the home sale costs from the typical home sale model that many are familiar with, resulting in less money in your pocket once all is said and done.

Housing Inventory Overstocked through iBuying

So how did Zillow get too many homes in their inventory? 

Zillow attempted to obtain as many properties as possible to take advantage of the inventory-starved real estate market that many states have been dealing with. In many of these markets, prices were rising quickly at record-breaking speeds. 

As iBuying can be a very quick home-sale process, Zillow quickly went beyond their limits as many people were more than happy with the cash offers that were being quoted during the high housing market spike. Zillow spokespeople have suggested that it was a faulty algorithmic model used for iBuying homes quickly and selling them even quicker, the reason why the company was so quick to purchase so many properties. 

Today, due to this overstock of properties and a loss of net dollars, Zillow has made multiple announcements that they will no longer partake in iBuying practices. This means no more home flipping for the company. It will take several business quarters for Zillow to fully step out of the iBuying markets. 

However, while an instant cash offer on your property sounds like a win, it should be noted that the seller does get stuck with some fees that can range up to 7 or 8 percent of the sale price. Additionally, as the iBuyer needs to remain profitable, their instant cash offers may be lower than what an independent sale might raise on the market. On average, iBuyer costs can be higher than the home sale costs from the typical home sale model that many are familiar with, resulting in less money in your pocket once all is said and done.

How Does Housing Inventory Affect Relocation?

When moving to a new city, housing market prices and inventory will have an impact on an employee’s ability to purchase a home. Due to the hot housing market, homes are still selling quickly and at industry high prices, causing some relocating employees to be either outbid or outpriced from purchasing a home. This is causing some buyers to spend longer periods of time finding a home that meets their needs and raises concerns about temporary living accommodations during the home finding process.

For those that receive relocation benefits from their employer, the option of short-term temporary/corporate housing can serve as an important stepping stone during the move. Industry best practice shows that providing temporary housing benefits for 30, 60, or 90 days is a critical benefit that allows your transferee to find a more permanent home. 

Global Mobility Solutions team of workforce mobility experts are ready to help analyze your relocation program and assist in the development of competitive policies. Our real estate program and comprehensive home-sale assistance programs provide a balance of excellent service quality and increased selling prices. Our trustworthy network of relocation real estate agents are relocation certified and are skilled in working with employees that are relocating for professional reasons. Contact us today with any questions you may have about real estate trends or relocation services.

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