A Data-Driven Forecast
As we look ahead to 2026, Americans continue to rethink where they want to live — driven by affordability, quality of life, job opportunities, and lifestyle preferences. Whether you’re planning a long-distance move or just curious about migration trends shaping the U.S., understanding these patterns can help you make smarter relocation decisions.
At Global Mobility Solutions (GMS), we help families and individuals navigate these transitions every day — so let’s explore where people are expected to move most in 2026 and why.
Why U.S. Migration Patterns Are Shifting
Several evolving factors influence domestic migration in the United States:
- Cost of living and housing affordability
- Employment opportunities and remote work flexibility
- Climate and lifestyle preferences
- Educational institutions and community amenities
While the nation’s movement levels have slowed compared to the heights of pandemic-era relocation, there are still clear winners — and runners-up — among the cities and states gaining new residents.
Top Cities People Will Move to in 2026
According to a moveBuddha forecast, several mid-sized cities are projected to experience the most significant net influx of residents in 2026. These cities stand out because more people are expected to move in than out, indicating strength in demand and livability.
1. Knoxville, TN — #1 Destination
Knoxville, Tennessee, tops the list as the city with the highest projected in-to-out move ratio for 2026. With an expected 1.61 new residents arriving for every person who leaves, Knoxville’s combination of affordable living, scenic surroundings, and university influence makes it a magnetic draw.
2. Tulsa, OK — Growing Renaissance
Tulsa, Oklahoma, captures the #2 spot, illustrating how cities that have once lost population can rebound. Tulsa’s revitalized downtown, cultural amenities, and affordability have driven substantial interest among movers.
- Vancouver, WA — Northwest Appeal
Vancouver, Washington (just across the river from Portland, Oregon), ranks alongside Tulsa with a strong projected inbound move ratio. Its blend of urban access and Pacific Northwest charm continues to appeal to relocating individuals.
Other Cities to Watch
- Savannah, GA — Historic charm and coastal living
- Tucson & Tempe, AZ — Southwestern lifestyle and growth potential
- Frisco & Raleigh, NC — Fast-growing suburbs with strong job markets
- Saint Paul, MN & Virginia Beach, VA — Variety of cultural and lifestyle options
These trends show that mid-sized, university-anchored cities and vibrant suburbs are beautiful for people seeking balance: amenities without high costs or congestion.
Southern & Southwest States Leading the Way
While specific city forecasts matter, broader state trends are also shaping where Americans plan to relocate in 2026. According to state-level forecasts and migration reports:
Southern Growth Continues
The South and Southwest remain dominant destinations for domestic migration, driven by lower housing costs, warm climates, and growing economies. Cities and states such as Tennessee, North Carolina, and Georgia continue to draw new residents.
Rising State Hotspots
Some states that may see above-average inbound migration in 2026 include:
- Alaska & Idaho — With some of the highest projected inbound move ratios
- South Carolina & North Carolina — Popular for retirees and career movers
- Arkansas & South Dakota — Fast-growing interest despite smaller populations
These patterns reflect a broader shift toward affordable regions with strong quality-of-life factors, particularly outside traditional coastal centers.
What This Means for Movers in 2026
1. Affordability Is King
High costs in traditional hotspots like California and some major urban metros are driving more people toward affordable alternatives. Mid-sized cities and suburban markets are reaping the benefits.
2. Lifestyle Over Size
Movers are increasingly prioritizing lifestyle attributes — outdoor access, community feel, cultural amenities, and proximity to nature — over big-city status alone.
3. Migration Isn’t One-Size-Fits-All
Some large markets like New York and Washington, D.C., continue to attract new residents in absolute numbers, even as smaller cities see higher net gains.
Planning Your Move with Confidence
Understanding where people are moving — and why — can help you make informed decisions about your relocation plans in 2026. Whether you’re considering a job change, lifestyle upgrade, or retirement move, trends point toward mid-sized cities and Southern/Southwestern states as key growth areas.
At GMS, we specialize in turning your moving goals into reality. From expert planning to seamless execution, our services are designed to support you at every step of your journey. Contact us today to learn how we can help with your upcoming move — wherever your destination may be.